試行回数内で1回以上起こる確率。
| 試行回数 | 命中90外れ | 命中85外れ | 命中80外れ | 急所 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.00% | 15.00% | 20.00% | 6.25% |
| 2 | 19.00% | 27.75% | 36.00% | 12.11% |
| 3 | 27.10% | 38.59% | 48.80% | 17.60% |
| 4 | 34.39% | 47.80% | 59.04% | 22.75% |
| 5 | 40.95% | 55.63% | 67.23% | 27.58% |
| 6 | 46.86% | 62.29% | 73.79% | 32.11% |
| 7 | 52.17% | 67.94% | 79.03% | 36.35% |
| 8 | 56.95% | 72.75% | 83.22% | 40.33% |
| 9 | 61.26% | 76.84% | 86.58% | 44.06% |
| 10 | 65.13% | 80.31% | 89.26% | 47.55% |
| 11 | 68.62% | 83.27% | 91.41% | 50.83% |
| 12 | 71.76% | 85.78% | 93.13% | 53.90% |
| 13 | 74.58% | 87.91% | 94.50% | 56.79% |
| 14 | 77.12% | 89.72% | 95.60% | 59.49% |
| 15 | 79.41% | 91.26% | 96.48% | 62.02% |
| 16 | 81.47% | 92.57% | 97.19% | 64.39% |
| 17 | 83.32% | 93.69% | 97.75% | 66.62% |
| 18 | 84.99% | 94.64% | 98.20% | 68.70% |
| 19 | 86.49% | 95.44% | 98.56% | 70.66% |
| 20 | 87.84% | 96.12% | 98.85% | 72.49% |
| 21 | 89.06% | 96.71% | 99.08% | 74.21% |
| 22 | 90.15% | 97.20% | 99.26% | 75.82% |
| 23 | 91.14% | 97.62% | 99.41% | 77.34% |
| 24 | 92.02% | 97.98% | 99.53% | 78.75% |
| 25 | 92.82% | 98.28% | 99.62% | 80.08% |
| 26 | 93.54% | 98.54% | 99.70% | 81.33% |
| 27 | 94.19% | 98.76% | 99.76% | 82.49% |
| 28 | 94.77% | 98.94% | 99.81% | 83.59% |
| 29 | 95.29% | 99.10% | 99.85% | 84.61% |
| 30 | 95.76% | 99.24% | 99.88% | 85.57% |
計算してみると急所も意外と高い。11回で5割越え。
ダブルバトルなら複数攻撃技もあるので急所判定の回数は結構多い。
運負けしたくなかったら命中の低い技を避けろとはよくいわれるけど、試行回数減らせというのはあまり聞かない。短期決戦を仕掛ければこちらが急所をもらう確率が下がるので、1回の負けで終わるトーナメントなら案外重要かも。
